Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.028908 0.034428 0.040187 0.046602 0.053510 0.060692 0.068688
2026-01-25 0.020370 0.028059 0.036625 0.046689 0.058023 0.070251 0.084311
2026-02-01 0.014687 0.023373 0.033662 0.046301 0.061034 0.077363 0.096553
2026-02-08 0.009711 0.018437 0.029521 0.043774 0.060947 0.080447 0.103803
2026-02-15 0.006855 0.015578 0.027411 0.043232 0.062802 0.085437 0.112928
2026-02-22 0.005032 0.013735 0.026300 0.043672 0.065625 0.091385 0.123005
2026-03-01 0.003678 0.012266 0.025464 0.044285 0.068520 0.097311 0.132965
2026-03-08 0.002826 0.011412 0.025354 0.045744 0.072385 0.104331 0.144155
2026-03-15 0.002005 0.010345 0.024786 0.046485 0.075271 0.110120 0.153849
2026-03-22 0.001855 0.010658 0.026307 0.050069 0.081771 0.120285 0.168729
2026-03-29 0.001011 0.008965 0.024503 0.048930 0.082125 0.122901 0.174581
2026-04-05 0.000619 0.008176 0.024052 0.049622 0.084798 0.128321 0.183752
2026-04-12 0.000275 0.007205 0.023275 0.049939 0.087154 0.133588 0.193057
2026-04-19 0.000069 0.006270 0.022444 0.050132 0.089346 0.138681 0.202209
2026-04-26 NaN 0.005253 0.021290 0.049745 0.090699 0.142684 0.210012
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003744 0.018806 0.047124 0.088885 0.142594 0.212736
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002979 0.017703 0.046561 0.089826 0.145949 0.219640
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002542 0.017260 0.047018 0.092157 0.151063 0.228696
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002191 0.016949 0.047655 0.094719 0.156461 0.238094
2026-05-31 NaN 0.002045 0.017165 0.049170 0.098521 0.163461 0.249480
2026-06-07 NaN 0.001777 0.016960 0.049939 0.101246 0.169055 0.259112
2026-06-14 NaN 0.002050 0.018448 0.053657 0.108214 0.180180 0.275646
2026-06-21 NaN 0.001476 0.017149 0.052476 0.108108 0.182072 0.280657